Roll Off
This is a Roll Off post.
The Equity held by each Nomicer is:
ais523: 33
Darknight: -3 (treated as 0 for Roll Off purposes)
DoomedIdeas: 11
JonathanDark: 29
Kevan: 20
Raven1207: -3 (treated as 0 for Roll Off purposes)
SingularByte: 22
Total (treating negative numbers as 0): 115
Here is table that assigns DICE115 roll results to Nomicers, with each Nomicer having a probability of victory proportional to the total Equity when Equities below 0 are treated as 0, and can be used by rolling a DICE115 and selecting the Nomicer whose result is in the specified range:
ais523: 1-33
Darknight: (no results)
DoomedIdeas: 34-44
JonathanDark: 45-73
Kevan: 74-93
Raven1207: (no results)
SingularByte: 94-115
The Roll Off rule does not disallow putting additional information into the Roll Off post. As such, I would also like to suggest an alternative, less optimal trial-and-error method of selecting a Nomicer via rolling off: roll a DICE115, then privately ask each Nomicer in alphabetical order whether, based on the dice roll result, they think they have done enough (in terms of Equity grinding and effort put into the dynasty) to win the dynasty (with low dice roll results meaning “not much effort/Equity is required” and high dice roll results meaning “a lot of effort/Equity is required, comparable to having 33 Equity and forcing a Lacuna to occur within a week of the dynasty starting”), until one of them replies that they do; then select that Nomicer as the winner of the roll off and stop there, without asking the other Nomicers. I appreciate that this method gives the wrong probabilities and is plainly biased; in particular, it is neither an optimal nor perfect method of rolling off for a winner. But it’s more interesting, especially from a scam-gameplay point of view!
ais523:
The dice roll was 5.
The winner of the dice roll, according to the heuristic at the bottom of the post, is ais523.
(The winner of the dice roll according to the table is also ais523.)