BlogNomic: The First Dynasty of Desertfrog

Per the rules

If a number or other game variable is selected “at random” or “randomly” from a range of possible values, its value shall always be taken from a uniform probability distribution over the entire range of possible values, unless otherwise specified

According to Josh, I had 24 power, Jumble had 23 power. This means, doing a little math, Kevan had 23 power and Pokes had 26 power.

This means, proportional to my heft (which, while reported as 17.6 was likely closer to 0.176470588%), I should have had a 24/96 chance of being selected, Kevan a 23/96, Jumble a 23/96, and Pokes a 26/96.

However, these are not the odds used. Pokes was instead given a 271/1000 chance, which while *close* to 26/96 is not quite 26/96. This means that an actually uniform probability distribution was not actually used, rather an approximation of one. And while it was a very good approximation, the rules do not permit approximations.

As a result, Josh should re-roll for the winner, this time rolling a DICE96:

To avoid possible confusion with what the result of the dice roll means:

On a 1-26 the winner will be Pokes, on a 27-50 the winner will be Clucky, on a 51-73 the winner will be Jumble, and on a 74-96 the winner will be Kevan.